Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 312.132041 354.530393 402.017463 459.418200 527.284061 605.410140 702.792972
2025-02-02 261.095893 319.342391 390.936761 486.598105 612.886495 776.520520 1008.973195
2025-02-09 224.919660 288.052266 370.345976 487.723348 654.630135 889.520090 1256.553421
2025-02-16 195.189971 258.760894 345.400517 475.393539 671.467519 966.633279 1466.397948
2025-02-23 173.504265 236.686365 326.061394 466.057047 688.295514 1043.443330 1690.449439
2025-03-02 161.750933 226.740526 322.013198 477.639079 737.542938 1178.798455 2046.368324
2025-03-09 149.147408 213.871155 311.641488 477.157226 765.992453 1283.313353 2373.315166
2025-03-16 136.387840 199.313888 296.792228 466.903896 775.223025 1353.989062 2651.725604
2025-03-23 127.756353 190.229387 289.459458 468.000152 804.336796 1467.179011 3054.803645
2025-03-30 118.129460 178.631725 276.746248 457.853915 810.380735 1534.867861 3373.975998
2025-04-06 111.141663 170.686102 269.286369 456.086322 832.145335 1639.561639 3820.273200
2025-04-13 101.596037 157.731995 252.068575 434.127544 809.616635 1641.900554 3995.619391
2025-04-20 99.297924 156.992549 256.379520 454.295167 879.776370 1876.640129 4936.570457
2025-04-27 97.966231 157.806140 263.559796 481.170398 970.037229 2186.244689 6277.106708
2025-05-04 93.252177 152.243919 258.445368 482.273967 1001.762882 2353.977771 7237.058223
2025-05-11 87.322522 144.049255 247.648022 470.114022 999.886519 2429.719661 7902.237289
2025-05-18 82.288253 137.129930 238.707022 460.905031 1003.790064 2523.625193 8700.367793
2025-05-25 80.018654 135.138830 239.146877 472.328757 1062.028961 2797.399652 10467.683997
2025-06-01 76.634307 130.808666 234.565726 471.853508 1089.066336 2982.168692 11970.489930
2025-06-08 72.535083 124.849441 226.224546 461.740339 1088.267452 3075.375326 13085.924873
2025-06-15 69.844019 121.425199 222.795774 462.821643 1119.085302 3288.394073 15067.137886
2025-06-22 66.310850 116.143142 215.110196 452.813476 1116.347383 3380.333225 16417.632466
2025-06-29 63.769215 112.663662 210.966908 451.069864 1137.972992 3572.482462 18640.304341